Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.036790 0.040040 0.043310 0.046842 0.050543 0.054301 0.058398
2025-11-16 0.031320 0.036106 0.041083 0.046621 0.052587 0.058801 0.065739
2025-11-23 0.028258 0.034258 0.040673 0.047988 0.056047 0.064606 0.074336
2025-11-30 0.025682 0.032611 0.040210 0.049063 0.059003 0.069734 0.082110
2025-12-07 0.023336 0.030966 0.039534 0.049713 0.061335 0.074058 0.088916
2025-12-14 0.021067 0.029196 0.038534 0.049835 0.062937 0.077466 0.094619
2025-12-21 0.019711 0.028375 0.038524 0.050999 0.065647 0.082059 0.101605
2025-12-28 0.017504 0.026346 0.036944 0.050198 0.065982 0.083868 0.105370
2026-01-04 0.016068 0.025167 0.036294 0.050421 0.067443 0.086913 0.110501
2026-01-11 0.015018 0.024401 0.036084 0.051115 0.069416 0.090517 0.116249
2026-01-18 0.014039 0.023655 0.035843 0.051723 0.071247 0.093929 0.121757
2026-01-25 0.012174 0.021592 0.033826 0.050045 0.070246 0.093947 0.123257
2026-02-01 0.010926 0.020317 0.032792 0.049583 0.070735 0.095761 0.126918
2026-02-08 0.009868 0.019238 0.031961 0.049338 0.071461 0.097843 0.130892
2026-02-15 0.009498 0.019137 0.032421 0.050745 0.074238 0.102398 0.137817
2026-02-22 0.009055 0.018891 0.032663 0.051854 0.076635 0.106495 0.144204
2026-03-01 0.008500 0.018435 0.032587 0.052524 0.078466 0.109898 0.149761
2026-03-08 0.007815 0.017725 0.032121 0.052649 0.079585 0.112418 0.154249
2026-03-15 0.007510 0.017602 0.032469 0.053852 0.082076 0.116622 0.160777
2026-03-22 0.006641 0.016483 0.031341 0.053024 0.081927 0.117549 0.163318
2026-03-29 0.006132 0.015931 0.031007 0.053254 0.083127 0.120137 0.167871
2026-04-05 0.005789 0.015640 0.031039 0.053972 0.084954 0.123498 0.173367
2026-04-12 0.005447 0.015322 0.031014 0.054600 0.086656 0.126702 0.178672